Emmy Predictions

In case you forgot, the Emmy Awards are tomorrow (Sunday) night, and with Neil Patrick Harris hosting it may actually be worth watching, even if the awards are less than exciting. If you're on the fence, maybe this will help make up your mind: Dr. Horrible musical number. Yeah. That's what I thought. In the meantime, here are my predictions for how the awards part will go down. As predictable as they seem, I'm sure I'll still miss most. You should really never trust me on these things.

BEST DRAMA

Will Win: Mad Men

Should Win: Mad Men

Could Win: Breaking Bad?

Mad Men's second year was as good and arguably better than its first. It's hard to imagine anything keeping it from repeating.

BEST ACTOR, DRAMA

Will Win: Jon Hamm, Mad Men

Should Win: Michael C. Hall, Dexter

Could Win: Hugh Laurie, House

You could swap those three around if you like, since all three are deserving and all three have yet to win. I feel like it's Jon Hamm's year, but still don't be surprised if Bryan Cranston repeats for Breaking Bad, even if only critics watch that show.

BEST ACTRESS, DRAMA

Will Win: Glenn Close, Damages

Should Win: Elisabeth Moss, Mad Men

Could Win: Elisabeth Moss, Mad Men

Elisabeth Moss deserves to win the Emmy for that season finale scene with Pete alone. But even if Damages wasn't at its best this season, Glenn Close was.

BEST SUPPORTING ACTOR, DRAMA

Will Win: Aaron Paul, Breaking Bad

Should Win: Michael Emerson, Lost

Could Win: Someone from Boston Legal

I'm not quite sure what to make of this category. William Hurt's a big name, but he wasn't all that great on Damages. John Slattery seemed more likely for Mad Men last year. So I'm gonna go with Aaron Paul, since people who watch Breaking Bad seem to like him, and the Emmys clearly like the show. Still, you can never underestimate their unexplainable love for all things Boston Legal. If only Jimmy Smits had submitted here instead of guest actor for Dexter.

BEST SUPPORTING ACTRESS, DRAMA

Will Win: Hope Davis, In Treatment

Should Win: Rose Byrne, Damages

Could Win: Rose Byrne, Damages

Dianne Wiest won last year for In Treatment, so I see Hope Davis reaping the same benefit from that actors' showcase. I nearly put 24's Cherry Jones as my should win, since anyone who can say 24 dialogue with a straight face deserves praise, but I have to go with Rose Byrne, even if she's actually the lead on the show.

BEST COMEDY

Will Win: 30 Rock

Should Win: How I Met Your Mother

Could Win: How I Met Your Mother

Most people may disagree, but I'm going to go ahead and say it: How I Met Your Mother is a better show than 30 Rock. Furthermore, 30 Rock was especially inconsistent this year, with a dud in between every funny episode. Since Emmys judge on single episodes and buzz, that won't matter.

BEST ACTOR, COMEDY

Will Win: Alec Baldwin, 30 Rock

Should Win: Alec Baldwin, 30 Rock

Could Win: Jim Parsons, The Big Bang Theory

It's amazing how much people seem to love Jim Parsons on The Big Bang Theory. But there's still no arguing with El Generalissimo. Unless Tony Shalhoub wins for the 13th time.

BEST ACTRESS, COMEDY

Will Win: Toni Collette, United States of Tara

Should Win: Toni Collette, United States of Tara

Could Win: Tina Fey, 30 Rock

Yeah, this was the year of Tina Fey and all, but Toni Collette played 4 completely different characters, and (mostly) kept from going too over-the-top. Hard to imagine bigger Emmy bait.

BEST SUPPORTING ACTOR, COMEDY

Will Win: Neil Patrick Harris, How I Met Your Mother

Should Win: Neil Patrick Harris, How I Met Your Mother

Could Win: Someone from 30 Rock

This is without a doubt NPH's year to win. I mean, he's the host! They can't let the host go home empty-handed! Plus, he should be collecting his 4th statue, not his first, for his (sorry, I have to) legendary performance as Barney Stinson. I'd be more worried about the guys from 30 Rock if there was just one of them, but I feel like 30 Rock fans may end up splitting their vote. And if Dwight or Drama wins, the Emmys will be beyond redemption.

BEST SUPPORTING ACTRESS, COMEDY

Will Win: Amy Poehler, Saturday Night Live

Should Win: Kristin Chenowith, Pushing Daisies

Could Win: Kristin Wiig, Saturday Night Live

The Emmys are going SNL crazy this year, not only giving guest actress to Tina Fey but guest actor to Justin Timberlake for hosting (over 30 Rock's Jon Hamm and Alan Alda? That seems worthy of a "Really?!?! with Seth and Amy"). Since Amy Poehler won't take lead actress since her show sucks, they'll make it up to her here.

BEST REALITY-COMPETITION PROGRAM

Will Win: The Amazing Race

Should Win: Top Chef

Could Win: Hah!

The Amazing Race has won this award EVERY YEAR SINCE IT WAS CREATED. It's the biggest sure-thing of the night.

BEST HOST FOR A REALITY PROGRAM

Will Win: Ryan Seacrest, American Idol

Should Win: Padma Lakshmi and Tom Colicchio, Top Chef

Could Win: Phil Keoghan, The Amazing Race

This award should have been eliminated as punishment for last year's atrocity. I'm picking Ryan Seacrest cause I assume he owns half of the voters by this point, but I'm always going to root for Top Chef.

BEST VARIETY, MUSIC, OR COMEDY SHOW

Will Win: The Daily Show

Should Win: The Daily Show

Could Win: Saturday Night Live

The Daily Show has won I think the past six years or so, and has deserved it every single time. While this year's no exception, SNL had a few good sketches during election season, and Emmy voters are stupid enough to ignore the other 85% of the season that was crap.

So those are my predictions. Who are you rooting for? Who do you think is inevitable? And will you watch the awards, or just fast forward to the NPH parts?