Wednesday, January 21, 2009

Oscar Nod Predictions

Tomorrow morning the Oscar nominations will be announced, and that means it's time for some predictions. After my utter failure at predicting the Golden Globe winners, I'm going a bit more conservative this time around, mostly saying what everyone's expecting. But the Oscars always throw some curveballs, and movies like Wall-E, The Reader, Gran Torino, and Revolutionary Road could easily do better than expected. Here are my predictions in the top 8 categories (in order of likelihood):

BEST PICTURE

Slumdog Millionaire
The Curious Case of Benjamin Button
Milk
Frost/Nixon
The Dark Knight

Alternates - Wall-E, The Reader, Gran Torino

BEST ACTOR

Sean Penn, Milk
Mickey Rourke, The Wrestler
Frank Langella, Frost/Nixon
Clint Eastwood, Gran Torino
Brad Pitt, The Curious Case of Benjamin Button

Alternates - Richard Jenkins, The Visitor; Leonardo DiCaprio, Revolutionary Road

BEST ACTRESS

Meryl Streep, Doubt
Anne Hathaway, Rachel Getting Married
Kate Winslet, Revolutionary Road
Sally Hawkins, Happy-Go-Lucky
Angelina Jolie, Changeling

Alternate - Cate Blanchett, The Curious Case of Benjamin Button

BEST SUPPORTING ACTOR

Heath Ledger, The Dark Knight
Phillip Seymour Hoffman, Doubt
Robert Downey Jr., Tropic Thunder
Josh Brolin, Milk
Dev Patel, Slumdog Millionaire

Alternates - James Franco/Emile Hirsch, Milk; Michael Shannon, Revolutionary Road

BEST SUPPORTING ACTRESS

Penelope Cruz, Vicky Christina Barcelona
Kate Winslet, The Reader
Viola Davis, Doubt
Marisa Tomei, The Wrestler
Taraji P. Henson, The Curious Case of Benjamin Button

Alternate - Amy Adams, Doubt

BEST DIRECTOR

Danny Boyle, Slumdog Millionaire
David Fincher, The Curious Case of Benjamin Button
Christopher Nolan, The Dark Knight
Gus Van Sant, Milk
Ron Howard, Frost/Nixon

Alternates - Clint Eastwood, Gran Torino; Stephen Daldry, The Reader

BEST ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY

Milk
Vicky Christina Barcelona
Rachel Getting Married
Wall-E
The Wrestler

Alternates - Burn After Reading, Happy-Go-Lucky

BEST ADAPATED SCREENPLAY

Slumdog Millionaire
The Curious Case of Benjamin Button
Frost/Nixon
Doubt
The Reader

Alternates - The Dark Knight, Revolutionary Road

We'll find out how I did tomorrow. In the meantime, check out the Razzie nominations. I'm personally glad to see The Happening did so "well," as it deserved every one of those nominations. I can't say I've seen The Love Guru or The Hottie and the Nottie, but here's one award I'd rather let someone else decide.

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